Xov xwm

Kub Kub Tau Nce Me Ntsis Thaum Pib Ua Lag Luam Hauv Tebchaws Es Xias Mus Yuav Ze Li $1,922 Ib Qho. Hnub Tuesday (Lub Peb Hlis 15) — Tus nqi kub tseem pheej poob qis vim tias kev sib tham txog kev sib tua ntawm Lavxias thiab Ukraine txo qhov kev thov rau cov cuab tam muaj kev nyab xeeb thiab kev twv tias Federal Reserve yuav nce tus nqi paj laum thawj zaug hauv peb xyoos ntxiv rau kev nyuaj siab rau cov hlau.

Kub kub kawg yog $1,917.56 ib ooj, poob $33.03, lossis 1.69 feem pua, tom qab ntaus qhov siab tshaj plaws txhua hnub ntawm $1,954.47 thiab qis tshaj plaws ntawm $1,906.85.
Comex Plaub Hlis Kub Futures kaw qis 1.6 feem pua ​​ntawm $ 1,929.70 ib ooj, qhov kaw qis tshaj plaws txij li Lub Peb Hlis 2. Hauv Ukraine, lub nroog Kiev tau tsim kom muaj kev txwv tsis pub mus ncig 35 teev txij thaum 8 teev tsaus ntuj lub sijhawm hauv zos tom qab Lavxias foob pob hluav taws ntaus ntau lub tsev nyob hauv nroog. Cov neeg Lavxias thiab Ukrainians tau tuav kev sib tham zaum plaub rau hnub Monday, nrog rau hnub Tuesday txuas ntxiv mus. Lub caij no, hnub kawg rau kev them nuj nqis tab tom los txog. Lub sijhawm hauv zos hnub Tuesday Podolyak, tus kws pab tswv yim rau chaw ua haujlwm ntawm Thawj Tswj Hwm Ukrainian, tau hais tias kev sib tham ntawm Lavxias-Ukrainian yuav txuas ntxiv mus tag kis thiab tias muaj kev tsis sib haum xeeb tseem ceeb hauv txoj haujlwm ntawm ob pawg neeg sawv cev hauv kev sib tham, tab sis muaj qhov ua tau ntawm kev sib haum xeeb. Thawj Tswj Hwm Ukrainian Zelenskiy hnub Tuesday ntsib nrog Thawj Tswj Hwm Polish Morawitzky, Thawj Tswj Hwm Czech Fiala thiab Thawj Tswj Hwm ntawm Slovenia Jan Sha. Ua ntej hnub ntawd, peb tus thawj tswj hwm tau tuaj txog hauv Kiev. Chaw ua haujlwm ntawm Thawj Tswj Hwm Polish tau hais rau ntawm nws lub vev xaib tias peb tus thawj tswj hwm yuav mus ntsib Kiev rau tib hnub nrog cov neeg sawv cev ntawm European Council thiab ntsib nrog Thawj Tswj Hwm Ukrainian Zelenskiy thiab Thawj Tswj Hwm Shimegal.

Tus nqi kub tau nce mus txog qhov siab tshaj plaws ntawm $ 5 lub lim tiam dhau los vim Lavxias teb sab kev ntxeem Ukraine ua rau tus nqi khoom nce siab, ua rau muaj kev hem thawj rau kev loj hlob qis thiab kev nce nqi siab, ua ntej poob rov qab. Txij thaum ntawd los, tus nqi ntawm cov khoom lag luam tseem ceeb, suav nrog roj, tau poob qis, ua rau cov kev txhawj xeeb ntawd tsis muaj zog. Kub tau nce xyoo no ib feem vim nws qhov kev thov ua ib qho kev tiv thaiv kev nce nqi ntawm cov neeg siv khoom. Lub hlis ntawm kev xav txog kev nce nqi tshiab zoo li yuav nce siab tshaj plaws rau hnub Wednesday, thaum Fed yuav pib tswj hwm txoj cai nruj. Fed yuav nrhiav kev los txo qis kaum xyoo ntawm kev nce nqi siab uas tau ua los ntawm tus nqi khoom lag luam siab. "Kev cia siab tsis muaj zog tias kev sib tham ntawm Ukraine thiab Russia tuaj yeem txo qhov kev kub ntxhov tau ua rau muaj kev thov kub," Ricardo Evangelista, tus kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas laus ntawm ActivTrades hais. Evangelista ntxiv tias, thaum tus nqi kub me ntsis ntsiag to, qhov xwm txheej hauv Ukraine tseem tab tom txhim kho thiab kev hloov pauv ntawm kev ua lag luam thiab kev tsis paub tseeb yuav tseem siab. Naeem Aslam, tus kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas kev ua lag luam tseem ceeb ntawm Ava Trade, tau hais hauv ib daim ntawv tias "Tus nqi kub tau poob qis dhau peb hnub dhau los, feem ntau vim yog tus nqi roj poob qis," ntxiv rau qee cov xov xwm zoo tias kev nce nqi yuav maj mam poob qis. Hnub Tuesday tau tshaj tawm ib daim ntawv qhia tias US Producer Price Index Price Index tau nce siab heev rau lub Ob Hlis tom qab tus nqi khoom lag luam siab dua, qhia txog kev nyuaj siab ntawm kev nce nqi thiab teeb tsa theem rau Fed kom nce tus nqi paj laum lub lim tiam no.

Kub yuav poob rau lub sijhawm thib peb sib law liag, tej zaum nws poob ntev tshaj plaws txij li thaum Lub Ib Hlis Ntuj tas los. Lub Fed xav tias yuav nce tus nqi qiv nyiaj los ntawm 0.25 feem pua ​​thaum kawg ntawm nws lub rooj sib tham ob hnub rau hnub Wednesday. Cov lus tshaj tawm uas yuav los txog no tau ua rau cov nyiaj tau los ntawm 10 xyoo siab dua thiab muab kev nyuaj rau tus nqi kub vim tias cov paj laum siab dua ntawm Asmeskas ua rau tus nqi pheej yig ntawm kev tuav kub tsis muaj zog. Ole Hansen, tus kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas ntawm Saxo Bank, tau hais tias: "Qhov nce thawj zaug ntawm cov paj laum ntawm Asmeskas feem ntau txhais tau tias qis rau kub, yog li peb yuav pom cov cim qhia dab tsi uas lawv xa tag kis thiab lawv cov lus hais txog kev ua siab loj npaum li cas, uas yuav txiav txim siab qhov kev cia siab luv luv." Spot Palladium tau nce 1.2 feem pua ​​mus rau kev lag luam ntawm $ 2,401. Palladium poob 15 feem pua ​​rau hnub Monday, nws qhov kev poob loj tshaj plaws hauv ob xyoos, vim tias kev txhawj xeeb txog kev muab khoom tau yooj yim dua. Hansen tau hais tias Palladium yog lub khw muag khoom tsis muaj kua thiab tsis tau tiv thaiv vim tias tus nqi ua tsov rog hauv kev lag luam khoom lag luam tau raug rho tawm. Vladimir Potanin, tus tswv cuab loj tshaj plaws hauv lub tuam txhab tsim khoom loj, MMC Norilsk Nickel PJSC, tau hais tias lub tuam txhab tseem tswj hwm kev xa khoom los ntawm kev hloov txoj kev xa khoom txawm tias muaj kev cuam tshuam ntawm kev sib txuas lus huab cua nrog Tebchaws Europe thiab Tebchaws Meskas. Lub Koom Haum European Union tau zam nws qhov kev nplua tshiab tshaj plaws rau kev xa khoom mus rau Russia.

Cov qhab nia US S & p 500 tau xaus qhov kev poob peb hnub sib law liag, tsom mus rau Federal Reserve txoj cai txiav txim siab.

Cov khoom lag luam hauv Tebchaws Meskas tau nce siab rau hnub Tuesday, xaus rau peb hnub poob sib law liag, vim tias cov nqi roj tau poob dua thiab cov nqi tsim khoom hauv Tebchaws Meskas tau nce qis dua qhov xav tau, pab txo cov kev txhawj xeeb ntawm cov tub ua lag luam txog kev nce nqi, qhov kev tsom mus rau Fed txoj cai tshiab. Tom qab Brent Crude tus nqi tau nce siab dua $ 139 ib lub thoob lub lim tiam dhau los, hnub Tuesday tau poob qis dua $ 100, muab kev pab ib ntus rau cov tub ua lag luam. Cov khoom lag luam tau raug hnyav rau xyoo no los ntawm kev ntshai txog kev nce nqi, kev tsis paub meej txog txoj kev ntawm Fed txoj cai los tswj kev nce nqi thiab kev nce ntxiv ntawm kev tsis sib haum xeeb hauv Ukraine tsis ntev los no. Thaum kawg ntawm hnub Tuesday, Dow Jones Industrial Average tau nce 599.1 cov ntsiab lus, lossis 1.82 feem pua, ntawm 33,544.34, S & P 500 tau nce 89.34 cov ntsiab lus, lossis 2.14 feem pua, ntawm 4,262.45, thiab NASDAQ tau nce 367.40, lossis 2.92% rau 12,948.62. Tus nqi ntawm cov khoom tsim tawm hauv Tebchaws Meskas tau nce siab thaum Lub Ob Hlis vim yog roj av thiab zaub mov, thiab kev ua tsov rog nrog Ukraine yuav ua rau muaj kev nce ntxiv tom qab Tus nqi ntawm cov khoom tsim tawm muaj zog thaum Lub Ob Hlis, uas tau tsav los ntawm kev nce nqi ntawm cov khoom lag luam xws li roj av, tus nqi no yuav nce ntxiv thaum roj av nyoos thiab lwm yam khoom lag luam kim dua tom qab Lavxias ua tsov rog hauv Ukraine. Qhov kev thov zaum kawg rau cov nqi ntawm cov khoom tsim tawm tau nce 0.8 feem pua ​​​​​​hauv Lub Ob Hlis los ntawm ib hlis dhau los, tom qab nce 1.2 feem pua ​​​​​​hauv Lub Ib Hlis. Cov nqi khoom lag luam tau nce 2.4%, qhov nce siab tshaj plaws txij li Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2009. Cov nqi roj av lag luam wholesale tau nce 14.8 feem pua, suav txog yuav luag 40 feem pua ​​​​​​ntawm kev nce nqi ntawm cov khoom lag luam. Tus nqi ntawm cov khoom tsim tawm tau nce 10 feem pua ​​​​​​hauv Lub Ob Hlis los ntawm ib xyoos dhau los, raws li kev cia siab ntawm cov kws tshawb fawb thiab tib yam li thaum Lub Ib Hlis. Cov lej tseem tsis tau qhia txog kev nce nqi ntawm cov khoom lag luam xws li roj thiab nplej tom qab Lavxias tau ntxeem Ukraine rau Lub Ob Hlis 24. PPI feem ntau yuav dhau mus rau CPI hauv peb lub hlis. Cov ntaub ntawv PPI siab thaum Lub Ob Hlis hauv Tebchaws Meskas qhia tias tseem muaj chaw rau CPI nce ntxiv, uas xav tias yuav nyiam cov tub ua lag luam kom yuav kub los tawm tsam kev nce nqi, kev txaus siab rau cov nqi kub mus sij hawm ntev. Txawm li cas los xij, cov ntaub ntawv tau ntxiv qee qhov kev nyuaj siab rau Fed kom nce tus nqi paj laum.

Cov neeg ua lag luam tau txo lawv cov nqi dollar sai heev xyoo no, thiab cov neeg ua lag luam txawv teb chaws zoo li tsis ntseeg tias qhov nce ntawm dollar tuaj yeem ruaj khov mus ntev, qhov zog ntawm dollar tsis ntev los no - tsav los ntawm kev pheej hmoo cuam tshuam nrog kev ua tsov rog thiab kev cia siab tias Fed yuav nruj txoj cai - yuav nce ntxiv. Cov nyiaj leveraged tau txo lawv cov haujlwm ntev tag nrho tawm tsam dollar tawm tsam cov txiaj tseem ceeb los ntawm ntau dua ob feem peb xyoo no, raws li cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm cov khoom lag luam yav tom ntej trading commission txij li Lub Peb Hlis 8. Qhov tseeb, dollar tau nce thaum lub sijhawm, nce ze li ntawm 3 feem pua ​​​​​​ntawm Bloomberg Dollar Index, thaum cov kev pheej hmoo cuam tshuam nrog Ukraine thiab kev cia siab ntawm kev nruj ntawm lub tsev txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab tau ntsiag to dua, cov neeg sib tw transatlantic los ntawm euro mus rau Swedish krona tau ua tsis tau zoo. Jack McIntyre, Tus Thawj Coj Portfolio ntawm Brandywine Global Investment Management, hais tias yog tias kev ua tsov rog hauv Ukraine tseem raug tswj hwm thiab tsis kis mus rau lwm lub tebchaws, qhov kev txhawb nqa ntawm dollar rau kev thov kev nyab xeeb yuav poob qis. Nws tsis ntseeg tias Fed cov kev ntsuas nruj tiag tiag yuav ua ntau yam los pab dollar. Tam sim no nws tsis hnyav hauv dollar. "Muaj ntau lub khw lag luam twb ua ntej Fed lawm," nws hais. Los ntawm kev xam pom ntawm txoj cai nyiaj txiag, cov keeb kwm qhia tias tus nqi dollar yuav nyob ze rau nws qhov siab tshaj plaws. Raws li cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Federal Reserve thiab Bank for International Settlements txij li xyoo 1994, tus nqi dollar tau qaug zog los ntawm qhov nruab nrab ntawm 4.1 feem pua ​​​​​​hauv plaub lub voj voog nruj dhau los ua ntej pawg neeg saib xyuas kev lag luam qhib hauv tebchaws.

Englander tau hais tias nws xav tias Fed yuav nce ntxiv ntawm 1.25 thiab 1.50 feem pua ​​xyoo no. Qhov no qis dua li ntau tus tub ua lag luam xav tam sim no. Qhov kev kwv yees nruab nrab ntawm cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas kuj qhia tias Fed yuav nce nws lub hom phiaj ntawm cov nyiaj pub los ntawm nws qib ze-xoom tam sim no mus rau qhov ntau ntawm 1.25-1.50 feem pua ​​thaum kawg ntawm xyoo 2022, sib npaug rau tsib qhov nce 25 lub hauv paus. Cov tub ua lag luam cog lus yav tom ntej txuas nrog lub hom phiaj ntawm cov nyiaj hauv tsoomfwv tam sim no xav tias Fed yuav nce cov nqi qiv nyiaj sai dua me ntsis, nrog rau tus nqi txoj cai teeb tsa yuav tsum nyob nruab nrab ntawm 1.75 feem pua ​​thiab 2.00 feem pua ​​thaum kawg ntawm xyoo. Txij li thaum pib ntawm covid-19, Fed cov kev kwv yees rau Asmeskas kev lag luam tsis tau ua raws li qhov tseeb tshwm sim. Kev poob haujlwm poob qis dua, kev loj hlob sai dua thiab, tej zaum qhov tseem ceeb tshaj plaws, kev nce nqi nce siab sai dua li qhov xav tau.